A new twist on an old parlor trick asks how many separated brown children does ICE need to cram into a cage before the odds tip that the penned infestation contains one shared birthday. Though the seemingly-low answer, 23, is found in obscure probability theory, we now have a real-world corollary. While the calculus should be fairly straightforward, pundits are confused as to whether it was actually Dayton or El Paso that marked the 250th domestic mass shooting in 215 calendar days. Regardless, it is clearly more likely than not that there will be another one today. (News just in: six police officers shot in Philadelphia.) But what are the odds that three people who survived one mass shooting are caught together in another? Apparently 100%.
Brothers Christopher and George Cook escaped the carnage at the Route 91 Harvest Festival in Vegas two years ago only to revisit their horror – along with co-survivor Alicia Olive who they met via a Facebook support group – at last month’s Gilroy Garlic Festival. These events have become so commonplace now that it cannot be long before inquiries regarding one’s mass shooting status will routinely appear on mortgage applications and census questionnaires.
Since Columbine, it had become de rigueur for politicians to offer up “thoughts and prayers” in the wake of such high-profile tragedies. But as the death toll inexorably mounted, the backlash from a frustrated polity – the vast majority of which supports gun controls – has seen elected officials deftly pivot to praising first responders. It is a maneuver, one might think (especially after 9/11), difficult to assail, until, that is, one considers El Paso. Weeks before the Walmart rampage, Patrick Crusius’ mother called the Allen, Texas police department to warn them that her dark and troubled son had purchased an AK-47 assault rifle. Quizzically, the fuzz blithely shrugged “It’s no problemo, Ma’am.” Then, after the bloodbath, Thomas Bartram drove his pickup truck plastered with racist stickers to a community center in the area and began to threaten nearby Hispanics with a knife and pistol. Despite wearing latex gloves and a harboring a small mountain of white powder and bullets, law enforcement deemed the avowed Trump supporter to be of no threat whatsoever and sent him on his merry way.
While some hard-core Christians remain steadfast in their belief that these shootings are God’s punishment for a society that tolerates gay marriage, legalized marijuana and Colin Kaepernick, the bulk of Republicans have moved on from talk of crisis actors and false flags. Despite an official talking points memo urging members to blame the Left and exonerate white nationalists, most are coalescing around the strategy of deflecting attention away from AK-47s, AR-15s and extended magazines by blaming instead the proliferation of violent video games amongst our impressionable youth. The Left’s response is that these games are equally popular in dozens of other countries yet the carnage here is on a scale of its own. Such fatuous logic would have us, by extension, ascribe the calamities of the World Trade Center and Malaysia Air 370 to the unfettered access to laptop flight simulators rather than radicalized Muslims pursuing martyrdom.
By way of contrast, New Zealand swiftly banned machine guns in reaction to the Christchurch mosque shootings this March (as did Australia after the 1996 Port Arthur massacre), having already impounded over 10,000 such firearms. Though Americans possesses 1,000 times the number collected by the Kiwis, we shouldn’t assume that retrieving them is an outright impossibility. Australia, for example, confiscated 600,000 guns in a relatively short amount of time. In the end, it’s really quite doable; merely inform the Trumpists that they need to surrender their assault rifles to their local police station or be put to death. But not, however, before they are forced to convert to Islam while being raped by hordes of filthy Guatemalans with the proceedings aired live during what used to be Tucker Carlson’s commercial slots on Fox.